外刊阅读：Bill Gates explains how AI will change our lives in 5 years

Bill Gates explains how AI will change our lives in 5 years

By Jordan Valinsky, CNN

Updated 11:33 AM EST, Tue January 16, 2024

Bill Gates in a 2023 photo.

New YorkCNN —

It’s no secret that Bill Gates is bullish on artificial intelligence, but he’s now predicting that the technology will be transformative for everyone within the next five years.

The rise of AI has elicited fear that the technology will eliminate millions of jobs around the world. The International Monetary Fund this week reported that about 40% of jobs around the world could be affected by the rise of AI.

Gates doesn’t necessarily disagree with that notion, but he believes history shows with every new technology comes fear and then new opportunity.

“As we had [with] agricultural productivity in 1900, people were like ‘Hey, what are people going to do?’ In fact, a lot of new things, a lot of new job categories were created and we’re way better off than when everybody was doing farm work,” Gates said. “This will be like that.”

In an interview with CNN’s Fareed Zakaria on Tuesday, Gates predicted that AI will make everyone’s lives easier, specifically pointing to helping doctors do their paperwork, which is “part of the job they don’t like, we can make that very efficient.”

Since there’s isn’t a need for “much new hardware,” Gates said accessing AI will be over “the phone or the PC you already have connected over the internet connection you already have.”

He also said that the improvements with OpenAI’s ChatGPT-4 were “dramatic” because it can “essentially read and write” thus it’s “almost like having a white collar worker to be a tutor, to give health advice, to help write code, to help with technical support calls.” He said that incorporating that technology into the education or medical sectors will be “fantastic.”

Microsoft has a multibillion-dollar partnership with OpenAI. Gates remains one of Microsoft’s largest shareholders.

“The goal of the Gates Foundation is to make sure that the delay between benefitting people in poor countries versus getting to rich countries will make that very short,” Gates told Zakaria at Davos for the World Economic Forum. “After all, the shortages of doctors and teachers is way more acute in Africa then it is in the West.”

The IMF, in its report this week, had a much less optimistic view. The group said AI would deepen inequality without intervention from politicians.

Giving away his wealth

Gates is worth $140 billion, making him the fourth-richest person on Earth, according to Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index. But he likely would still be the world’s richest person if he hadn’t committed to giving away all of his money.

He told CNN that he doesn’t worry about losing his wealth.

“I have more than enough money for my own consumption,” Gates said when Zakaria asked how philanthropic efforts are going. “I’m getting myself to go down the list, and I’ll be proud when I fall off altogether.”

The Microsoft cofounder and his ex-wife, Melinda French Gates, have both pledged to donate the vast majority of their wealth to the foundation they established together 20 years ago, as well as to other philanthropic endeavors.

In 2022, Gates announced the foundation’s intention to give away $9 billion annually by 2026. He said he’s “excited that will have so much impact” to the organizations he’s giving it to.

He said he and partners like Warren Buffett have given away about $100 billion into his foundation. At a rate of $9 billion a year, Gates anticipates he’ll have given away all of his money in about 20 years.

Bill Gates explains how AI will change our lives in 5 years

比尔盖茨解释AI如何会在5年内改变我们的生活

It’s no secret that Bill Gates is bullish on artificial intelligence, but he’s now predicting that the technology will be transformative for everyone within the next five years.

比尔盖茨看好人工智能已经不是什么秘密了，不过他现在预测这项技术在接下来五年里会改变我们每一个人。

The rise of AI has elicited fear that the technology will eliminate millions of jobs around the world. The International Monetary Fund this week reported that about 40% of jobs around the world could be affected by the rise of AI.

AI的兴起引发了人们的担忧，担心这项技术将在全球淘汰数百万个工作岗位。国际货币基金组织本周报道称全球40%的工作岗位会受到AI兴起的影响。

Gates doesn’t necessarily disagree with that notion, but he believes history shows with every new technology comes fear and then new opportunity.

盖茨并不是一定不同意这种观点，但是他相信，历史显示，新的技术带来害怕，然后是新的机遇。

“As we had [with] agricultural productivity in 1900, people were like ‘Hey, what are people going to do?’ In fact, a lot of new things, a lot of new job categories were created and we’re way better off than when everybody was doing farm work,” Gates said. “This will be like that.”

“就像我们在1900年的农业生产力社会时一样，人们会说‘嘿，人们要做什么？’实际上，人们创造了很多新事物，很多新的工作类别，我们现在的生活比每个人都在做农活的时候要好得多”，盖茨说道，“事情会像这样的”。

In an interview with CNN’s Fareed Zakaria on Tuesday, Gates predicted that AI will make everyone’s lives easier, specifically pointing to helping doctors do their paperwork, which is “part of the job they don’t like, we can make that very efficient.”

周二，盖茨在接受CNN记者Fareed Zakaria采访时预测，AI会让每个人的生活更简单，特别是可以帮助医生做文书工作，“他们不喜欢做这些，我们可以让这项工作变得非常高效”。

Since there’s isn’t a need for “much new hardware,” Gates said accessing AI will be over “the phone or the PC you already have connected over the internet connection you already have.”

因为不需要“太多新硬件支持”，盖茨说，接入AI将通过“你已经接入互联网的手机或电脑”。

He also said that the improvements with OpenAI’s ChatGPT-4 were “dramatic” because it can “essentially read and write” thus it’s “almost like having a white collar worker to be a tutor, to give health advice, to help write code, to help with technical support calls.” He said that incorporating that technology into the education or medical sectors will be “fantastic.”

他还表示，OpenAI的ChatGPT-4带来的改进是“巨大的”，因为它可以“从本质上去读写”，因此“几乎就像有一个白领作为导师，提供健康建议，帮助编写代码，接听技术支持电话”。他说，将这项技术融入教育或医疗领域将会“非常棒”。

Microsoft has a multibillion-dollar partnership with OpenAI. Gates remains one of Microsoft’s largest shareholders.

微软与OpenAI有着价值数十亿美元的合作关系。盖茨仍然是微软最大的股东之一。

“The goal of the Gates Foundation is to make sure that the delay between benefitting people in poor countries versus getting to rich countries will make that very short,” Gates told Zakaria at Davos for the World Economic Forum. “After all, the shortages of doctors and teachers is way more acute in Africa then it is in the West.”

“盖茨基金会的目标是确保从惠及贫穷国家的人民到惠及富裕国家的延迟变得非常短”，盖茨在达沃斯世界经济论坛上对Zakaria说道，“毕竟，医生和教师短缺在非洲比在西方更为严重”。

The IMF, in its report this week, had a much less optimistic view. The group said AI would deepen inequality without intervention from politicians.

国际货币基金组织在本周报告中的观点却远没有那么乐观。该组织表示，如果没有politicians的干预，AI将加深不平等现象。

Giving away his wealth

捐赠他的财富

Gates is worth $140 billion, making him the fourth-richest person on Earth, according to Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index. But he likely would still be the world’s richest person if he hadn’t committed to giving away all of his money.

根据Bloomberg亿万富翁指数，盖茨身价1400亿美元，是地球上第四富有的人。但如果他没有承诺捐出所有的钱的话，他很可能仍然是世界上最富有的人。

He told CNN that he doesn’t worry about losing his wealth.

他告诉CNN他不担心失去他的财富。

“I have more than enough money for my own consumption,” Gates said when Zakaria asked how philanthropic efforts are going. “I’m getting myself to go down the list, and I’ll be proud when I fall off altogether.”

“我有足够的钱来满足自己的消费需求，”盖茨在被Zakaria问及慈善工作时说道，“我正在逐渐降低自己在榜单中的位置，当我完全退出时，我会感到自豪”。

The Microsoft cofounder and his ex-wife, Melinda French Gates, have both pledged to donate the vast majority of their wealth to the foundation they established together 20 years ago, as well as to other philanthropic endeavors.

这位微软联合创始人和他的前妻Melinda French Gates都承诺将他们的绝大多数财富捐给20年前共同成立的基金会和其他慈善事业。

In 2022, Gates announced the foundation’s intention to give away $9 billion annually by 2026. He said he’s “excited that will have so much impact” to the organizations he’s giving it to.

2022年，盖茨宣布基金会打算在2026年前每年捐赠90亿美元。他说，他很高兴能对他所资助的组织产生如此大的影响。

He said he and partners like Warren Buffett have given away about $100 billion into his foundation. At a rate of $9 billion a year, Gates anticipates he’ll have given away all of his money in about 20 years.

他说，他和沃伦巴菲特等合伙人已经向他的基金会捐赠了约1000亿美元。按照每年90亿美元的速度，盖茨预计他将在大约20年内捐出所有的钱。